If there is any propaganda being slung around the 'free world' about the situation in the Ukraine - the world that will be expected to pull the Ukrainian irons out of its fire - it's NOT coming out of Russia. Objectively, nobody - including the Russians, 'need' the Ukraine as much as they require a brain aneurysm. The Ukraine is the economic millstone that could very well sink the world bank. If it doesn't cause a war first.
But objectivity is in short supply when you're thinking about a one-world system with you in charge. So we have this from the US State Department. So's we all will know the dirty liars who lie when we hear about it on Fox News.
No amount of propaganda can make right something that the world knows is wrong.” – President Obama, March 26
Russia continues to spin a false and dangerous narrative to justify
its illegal actions in Ukraine. The Russian propaganda machine continues
to promote hate speech and incite violence by creating a false threat
in Ukraine that does not exist. We would not be seeing the violence and
sad events that we've witnessed this weekend without this relentless
stream of disinformation and Russian provocateurs fostering unrest in
eastern Ukraine. Here are 10 more false claims Russia is using to
justify intervention in Ukraine, with the facts that these assertions
ignore or distort.
1. Russia Claims: Russian agents are not active in Ukraine.
Fact: The Ukrainian Government has
arrested more than a dozen suspected Russian intelligence agents in
recent weeks, many of whom were armed at the time of arrest. In the
first week of April 2014, the Government of Ukraine had information that
Russian GRU officers were providing individuals in Kharkiv and Donetsk
with advice and instructions on conducting protests, capturing and
holding government buildings, seizing weapons from the government
buildings’ armories, and redeploying for other violent actions. On April
12, armed pro-Russian militants seized government buildings in a
coordinated and professional operation conducted in six cities in
eastern Ukraine. Many were outfitted in bullet-proof vests, camouflage
uniforms with insignia removed, and carrying Russian-designed weapons
like AK-74s and Dragunovs. These armed units, some wearing black and
orange St. George’s ribbons associated with Russian Victory Day
celebrations, raised Russian and separatist flags over seized buildings
and have called for referendums on secession and union with Russia.
These operations are strikingly similar to those used against Ukrainian
facilities during Russia’s illegal military intervention in Crimea in
late February and its subsequent occupation.
Since the Communist Revolution, and even before that, Ukrainians have served in the armies of Russia. They may have had their own linguistic units, but the traditions and other aspects of service are the same for both Ukrainians and Russians. Until the recent 'appointment revolution' Ukrainian forces used the same organizational structure and equipment and even trained with the forces of the Russian Federation - some recently-displayed satellite imagery is purported to display Ukrainian forces on maneuvre in Russia. The dress and equipment of these 'Russian agents' is no different from that carried in many cases by Ukrainian militias present at, or after, the Maidan protests. It certainly does not identify them as Russians (a complaint from the Crimea about "unidentified forces"). A check of correspondent sources and native footage from U Tube, will indicate that even considering the dress - these people are far from 'professional' or even 'trained' military. It's a jacquerie in camo.
The Order of St. George was an old czarist award, the distinctive ribbon of which was resuscitated at the end of WW2. It, too, is common to Ukrainians as well as Russians.
2. Russia Claims: Pro-Russia
demonstrations are comprised exclusively of Ukrainian citizens acting of
their own volition, like the Maidan movement in Kyiv.
Fact: This is not the grassroots
Ukrainian civic activism of the EuroMaidan movement, which grew from a
handful of student protestors to hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians
from all parts of the country and all walks of life. Russian internet
sites openly are recruiting volunteers to travel from Russia to Ukraine
and incite violence. There is evidence that many of these so-called
“protesters” are paid for their participation in the violence and
unrest. It is clear that these incidents are not spontaneous events, but
rather part of a well-orchestrated Russian campaign of incitement,
separatism, and sabotage of the Ukrainian state. Ukrainian authorities
continue to arrest highly trained and well-equipped Russian provocateurs
operating across the region.
There is no evidence of any of this. Russians are not being 'bussed in' for demonstrations. That would after all involve crossing a heavily-guarded Ukrainian border. The same cannot be said for 'pro-Ukrainian protestors' or police units bussed into the east from west Ukraine.
Ukrainian authorities continue to arrest, and detain without trial, a large number of 'subversives' - some right-wing Ukrainians but, for the larger part 'ethnics'- Russians, Poles and others.
3. Russia Claims: Separatist leaders in eastern Ukraine enjoy broad popular support.
Fact: The recent demonstrations in
eastern Ukraine are not organic and lack wide support in the region. A
large majority of Donetsk residents (65.7 percent) want to live in a
united Ukraine and reject unification with Russia, according to public
opinion polls conducted at the end of March by the Donetsk-based
Institute of Social Research and Policy Analysis. Pro-Russian
demonstrations in eastern Ukraine have been modest in size, especially
compared with Maidan protests in these same cities in December, and they
have gotten smaller as time has progressed.
There is no clear leadership, on a regional basis, of the widespread and diffuse protest movement in the eastern Ukraine, rather than a city-oriented media event, it is real and focused in the countryside. Centralization of effort and a governmental structure is a situation the protestors should try to rectify. The "appointed leadership" of the "revolutionary" government of Kyiv is out-of-touch, not only with the local people, but also with local security forces. The Regional governor now holds court in a hotel rather than a government centre.
While the 'Maidan' protests against the Yanukovich government may have been larger, the 'pro-ukraine' element is now missing from the demonstrations and the occupation of government facilities is an innovation.
An 'appointed government' in Kyiv is, obviously, not what the 'Maidan protestors' of Donetsk wanted.
4. Russia Claims: The situation in eastern Ukraine risks spiraling into civil war.
Fact: What is going on in eastern
Ukraine would not be happening without Russian disinformation and
provocateurs fostering unrest. It would not be happening if a large
Russian military force were not massed on the border, destabilizing the
situation through their overtly threatening presence. There simply have
not been large-scale protests in the region. A small number of
separatists have seized several government buildings in eastern cities
like Donetsk, Luhansk, and Slovyansk, but they have failed to attract
any significant popular support. Ukrainian authorities have shown
remarkable restraint in their efforts to resolve the situation and only
acted when provoked by armed militants and public safety was put at
risk. Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE)
observers have reported that these incidents are very localized.
Given the presence of large Ukrainian military formations, as well as the greater part of the new "National Guard"-in-training camps, stationed in the eastern regions there is every likelihood that, if local security forces cannot contain the protests, military force will be used. The President issued that threat himself yesterday.
Should the Ukrainian armed forces fire on Russian demonstrators - the effect on 'russian sympathizers' in the local military and security units could be 'revolutionary'. Civil war is more than a distinct possibility, a counter-revolution could also be a reality.
Right now the 'appointed government' could not win an election, let alone a regional referendum. They can't survive (politically) another 'Crimea'. They'll fight - civil war.
Their 'best case scenario' is getting the UN to send forces to bring the eastern regions (terrorists) to heel. The President made that request of the UN to-day.
The protests are under-reported. From what I have observed there is only one consistent western source at work in the Eastern regions at present - Vice News. Even that reporter has made note of widespread resistance to the movement of Ukrainian military forces. One of these may have led to yesterday's reports of casualties in a clash between security forces and protestors. There are a number of checkpoints and roadblocks set-up by local 'authorities'. One was videotaped disarming a Ukrainian security unit on Thursday.
5. Russia Claims: Ukrainians in Donetsk
rejected the illegitimate authorities in Kyiv and established the
independent “People’s Republic of Donetsk.”
Fact: A broad and representative
collection of civil society and non-governmental organizations in
Donetsk categorically rejected the declaration of a “People’s Republic
of Donetsk” by the small number of separatists occupying the regional
administration building. These same organizations confirmed their
support for the interim government and for the sovereignty and
territorial integrity of Ukraine.
There is no "People's Republic of Donetsk', although to some protestors think that should be the outcome of a referendum on independence to be held early in May. What "the broad and collective representation of civil society" will do remains to be seen. At present they aren't protesting the pro-russian protests.
6. Russia Claims: Russia ordered a “partial drawdown” of troops from the Ukrainian border.
Fact: No evidence shows significant
movement of Russian forces away from the Ukrainian border. One
battalion is not enough. An estimated 35,000-40,000 Russian troops
remain massed along the border, in addition to approximately 25,000
troops currently in Crimea.
There could have been more Russian troops present for the military exercises just after the new year, we don't know how many were involved. By the same token we don't know exactly how many are there now. What we do know is that it IS Russian territory, so they're not where they should not be. We also know that they are not present close to the border in any appreciable number - NBC send a news team that traveled, freely, the length of the Russian side of the border with Ukraine and noted an absence of troops. Some were reported but they were small detachments and were known to be there - ie not hidden.
Military logic would dictate that you don't telegraph your punches, or leave yourself open to a 'spoiling attack' when planning to invade an enemy, and if you just want to threaten, you don't hide your strength. Given the 'evidence' it would appear that the Russians are militarily incompetent. They're not hiding anything and what they do have is laagered, parked in the open, in straight rows, with little obvious accommodation for personnel.
7. Russia Claims: Ethnic Russians in Ukraine are under threat.
Fact: There are no credible reports of ethnic Russians facing threats in Ukraine. An
International Republican Institute poll
released April 5 found that 74 percent of the Russian-speaking
population in the eastern and southern regions of Ukraine said they
“were not under pressure or threat because of their language.”
Meanwhile, in Crimea, the OSCE has raised urgent concerns for the safety
of minority populations, especially ethnic Ukrainians, Crimean Tatars,
and others. Sadly, the ethnic Russians most at risk are those who live
in Russia and who oppose the authoritarian Putin regime. These Russians
are harassed constantly and face years of imprisonment for speaking out
against Putin’s regular abuses of power.
Until the recent development of the revolutionary government, all Ukrainians seemed to suffer alike - the golden pheasants and oligarchs excepted. Language was no guarantee of a benefit. With the revolution the notion of some Ukrainians being 'better' than other Ukrainians came to the fore. Call them stupid if you will, but one of the very first edicts of the "revolutionary government" was making a minority language the 'lingua franca' of the new regime. Shutting Russian-speakers out may not be a direct threat, but assuming they all learned to speak Ukrainian - their names would still indicate their 'Russian-ness'. In good times that might not be a problem. With the soup line looming, and the memory of the Holodmyr now a national treasure, it is.
8. Russia Claims: Ukraine’s new government is led by radical nationalists and fascists.
Fact: The Ukrainian parliament
(Rada) did not change in February. It is the same Rada that was elected
by all Ukrainians, comprising all of the parties that existed prior to
February’s events, including former president Yanukovych’s Party of
Regions. The new government, approved by an overwhelming majority in the
parliament -- including many members of Yanukovych’s former party -- is
committed to protecting the rights of all Ukrainians, including those
in Crimea.
Other than the two metrosexuals who are speaking for everybody, we don't know just what form the revolutionary government has already taken. We do know that some 'evildoers' have fled. We know from a televised fistfight that some Ukrainian politicians are disliked by other Ukrainian politicians in their revolutionary government. We also know that what goes on in Kyiv and the cities, bears little resemblance to what is going on in the country itself. It is very likely that Ukraine is too fractured to be maintained in its past form - even if all Ukrainians agreed.
9. Russia Claims: Ethnic minorities face persecution in Ukraine from the “fascist” government in Kyiv.
Fact: Leaders of Ukraine’s Jewish
as well as German, Czech, and Hungarian communities have all publicly
expressed their sense of safety under the new authorities in Kyiv.
Moreover, many minority groups expressed fear of persecution in
Russian-occupied Crimea, a concern OSCE observers in Ukraine have
substantiated.
The Jews of the Ukraine early on expressed concerns about the way the
protests seemed to be headed. While they have since expressed their
'confidence' in the revolutionary government, figures of 'aliyah' emigrations
processed from the Ukraine since March first are up more than 400
percent as reported by the Jerusalem Post. The Crimean Tatars were,
supposedly, making a joint case with the revolutionary government,
apparently the Crimean Tatars resident in Crimea have made an agreement
with the Crimean government. Sooooo? I'm sure the Poles would just love
to 'assist' Ukraine by regaining their former eastern provinces, annexed
by the Soviets as in 1939 and attached to the Ukrainian SSR in 1954.
Addendum: The UN human rights body yesterday announced it could find no evidence that Russians were under threat in the 'new' Ukraine. This report was developed over two visits lasting 4 days. Since then, two 'russian' presidential candidates have been publicly assaulted. A russian member of the legislature was removed while making a speech and there was a fist fight there started by Nationalist politicians after remarks made by a 'russian-speaking' member. A womens' group protesting the detention of 20-odd Berkut members was assaulted by a gang of nationalist toughs in the Maidan Square yesterday. Isolated instances perhaps, but evidence of some sort that all is not right. These things weren't happening 3 months ago.
10. Russia Claims: Russia is not using energy and trade as weapons against Ukraine.
Fact: Following Russia’s illegal
annexation and occupation of Crimea, Russia raised the price Ukraine
pays for natural gas by 80 percent in the past two weeks. In addition,
it is seeking more than $11 billion in back payments following its
abrogation of the 2010 Kharkiv accords. Russia’s moves threaten to
increase severely the economic pain faced by Ukrainian citizens and
businesses. Additionally, Russia continues to restrict Ukrainian exports
to Russia, which constitute a significant portion of Ukraine’s export
economy.
Russia has for years supplied natural gas and fuels to Ukraine at well-below the market price in the EU. The Russians pipe their fuel to their EU markets through the Ukraine, for which a royalty is paid. Part of this 'discount' was to pay 'rent' on the Russian naval installation at Sebastopol (an autonomous administrative unit within the Ukraine). Both the installation and the autonomous unit of Sebastopol are now part of the Russian Federation - no further rentals are required.
For the past three
years the Ukraine has been unable, or unwilling, to pay for the fuels
that have been received, used or (if the 'revolutionary government' is
to be believed) stockpiled. The bill now amounts to some 1.2 billion dollars.
So with the straitened condition of the Ukrainian revolutionary republic - waiting for an EU bailout package and other western loans - that fuel bill is more than outstanding.
Add to that more 'stupid' comments from the 'revolutionary' government about not paying the bill and you have the Russians wondering if there is an agreement they should be honouring at all. They have announced a rise in price to the EU level but they have yet to turn off the flow of 'free' gas. That might well be a next step in 'calling the bet' as the west continues to up its Ukrainian ante.
